The National Hurricane Center began advisories Wednesday on a system it forecasts to become the season’s next tropical depression or storm. Long-range forecast models predict it will intensify into a hurricane and threaten Florida by the middle of next week.

If the pressure moves away quickly enough and its trailing cold front follows suit, we will see a stronger Hurricane Sara that will have a greater impact on Florida, according to AccuWeather. Steering breezes could guide the system toward the Florida Keys and the southern part of the Florida Peninsula.