Any uncertainty in the calculation of the object’s orbit causes variations in the predicted solution. Instead of one precise orbit, the calculation usually gives scientists a cloud of its possible ...

Astronomers have been keeping a close watch on asteroid 2024 YR4 since its detection late last year. While initial ...

Although it won’t hit Earth, an asteroid once labeled a “city killer” is now back in the spotlight — this time, because it ...

In a cosmic twist of fate, scientists have confirmed that asteroid 2024 YR4, a near-Earth asteroid previously thought to pose a significant threat, will not collide with our planet in 2032 ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4 will move out of Earth’s sight by May and will not return until 2028. Still, the threat assessment should be further along, and if the asteroid appears headed for Earth, there ...

2024 YR4 was first discovered in December 2024. It's relatively small — just 130 to 300 feet (40 to 90 meters) across. But it's classified as an Apollo-type asteroid, meaning its orbit regularly ...

At its peak threat level, 2024 YR4 reached a 3 on the Torino Scale and had an estimated 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, according to NASA. The ESA’s observations reached a peak of a 2.8% risk.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.8% to 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.

At its peak threat level, 2024 YR4 reached a 3 on the Torino Scale and had an estimated 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, according to NASA. The ESA’s observations reached a peak of a 2.8% risk.