When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The pollster released a long blog post detailing why Trump won and took down his election model, which had predicted a Harris win.

Is Donald Trump going to lose Iowa? That’s the conclusion many US pundits came to after a bombshell poll over the weekend.

Trump and Harris are polling within single digits of each other in key states like Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan and ...

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

Nate Silver abruptly abandoned his prediction model just before 10:30pm Eastern time on Tuesday, posting on his Substack that ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald ...

Silver, one of the most well-respected statisticians in politics, has the race as too close to call. And the final polling ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

A Democrat has not won a statewide election in Texas since 1994. Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early ...

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...