The Kentucky Derby demands more than raw talent, and our handicapper says the No. 4 horse, Rodriguez, has the right mix to triumph at Churchill Downs.

Bob Baffert is back at the Kentucky Derby for the first time in four years, having served his punishment for Medina Spirit’s failed drug test and coming to the place where he’s won a record-tying six times. He’s settled in at his old Barn 33, the signs boasting of his Churchill Downs triumphs again hanging on the outside wall.

Who should you bet on in the Kentucky Derby on Saturday? And who should you avoid? A closer look at all of the contenders as you weigh your wagers.